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UFC 315 updates, highlights for Muhammad-Della Maddalena card

Sport 22 Mins Read

In a bloody battle, Jack Della Maddalena upset Belal Muhammad by unanimous decision at UFC 315 in Montreal and won the welterweight title.

The judges scored the five-round title bout 48-47, 48-47, 49-46 for JDM.

Della Maddalena, a 28-year-old Australian, entered the fight No. 5 in the UFC welterweight rankings and then spoiled Muhammad’s first title defense. He also ended Muhammad’s unbeaten streak at 11 fights in a row.

JDM won for the 18th straight time while winning his first UFC championship and improving his record to 18-2 (8-0 UFC).

“It’s exactly how I thought it would feel,’’ JDM said. “It feels (very) good.’’

Muhammad, a 36-year-old Palestinian-American, lost for the first time in 12 fights, a stretch dating to 2019. His record dropped to 24-4 after the loss.

Before the fight, Muhammad vowed to use his “Canelo (Alvarez) hands’’ and box. He tried, but eventually leaned on his ground game.

It served him well, but wasn’t enough to overcome the hard-hitting Della Maddalena.

JDM, respected for his striking ability, squirmed free from several takedowns and survived Muhammad’s push in the final two rounds. JDM did not give up a takedown until the fourth round against Muhammad, known for his strong ground game.

“I knew I had to be smart,’’ JDM said. “I knew I couldn’t spend too much time on my back.’’

Jack Della Maddalena def. Belal Muhammad (C) by unanimous decision

ROUND 1: Lights dim as Belal Muhammad begins to make his way to the octagon for his first title defense. Jack Della Maddalena (JDM), No. 5 in the UFC welterweight rankings, awaits Muhammad’s arrival. JDM throws a right as he stalks and Muhammad fires back to the body. JDM lands a nice right and Muhammad answers with a kick. JDM lets fly with a few kicks, showing he’s got more than fists. Muhammad connects with a solid right and then another. JDM lands a kick and a right, and follows with another right. Muhammad promised to box. Maybe a bad idea. JDM attacks with low kicks and Muhammad nearly lands one to the head. They’re exchanging kicks, and JDM connects with a left. Muhammad attempts the takedown, and settles for a scoring punch. Muhammad connects with a right and starts to attack before he takes an uppercut. JDM 10, Muhammad 9.

ROUND 2: They open with kicks, but no damage done. But a head kick from Muhammad may have gotten through. More kicks. JDM strikes with a right. Muhammad answers with a body kick. Fighters throwing punches, but not in bunches. Chants go up. “Let’s go, Jack! Let’s go, Jack!’’ More kicks and single shot punches. Muhammad bleeding from the nose. He attempts a takedown but JDM gets free and looks skillful with his takedown defense. Big right from Muhammad, who’s bleeding more profusely now. JDM 20, Muhammad 18.

ROUND 3: Muhammad out quickly with punches, but JDM answers with authority. A flurry of punches backs up Muhammad, and then he scores with jabs. Blood flowing again from Muhammad’s nose, but he lands a nice right. JDM pummeling that nose. Muhammad lands a right and a left, but JDM fires another right that lands. Muhammad neglecting his ground game and perhaps to his detriment as JDM continues to land. JDM bobbing and weaving and scoring before Muhammad attempts the takedown and presses JDM against the fence. JDM 30, Muhammad 27.

ROUND 4: Muhammad stalking now. But catching up to JDM is dangerous. Muhammad lands an uppercut and JDM looks wobbly. But JDM responds with punches. Muhammad stays aggressive but takes a big shot to the face. Muhammad lands a combination and keeps the pressure on. Muhammad lands two uppercuts, but JDM answers. Brawling ensues until Muhammad pins JDM against the fence. Muhammad on top and in control before JDM reverses and punches Muhammad in the rib cage. Muhammad lands two punches and the men separate. But Muhammad quickly fires again and goes for another takedown. JDM fights it off. They’re clinched, with JDM on the fence and Muhammad fires knees and JDM takes more punches. JDM looks to be bleeding from the right ear, and Muhammad looks energized. JDM 39, Muhammad 37.

ROUND 5: JDM moving, but not fast enough. Muhammad appears to land a knee. JDM lands a solid jab and gets moving. JDM lands a knee but takes a big right. Muhammad bleeding badly. Muhammad scores a takedown with three minutes left. This is not where JDM wants to be. Muhammad on top and trying to fire with his left arm. JDM squirms free. Muhammad fires more punches. JDM’s right eye nearly swollen shut. JDM on the attack! Muhammad trying to clinch and cover up. Muhammad scores another takedown with about a minute to go. JDM back on his feet. He punishes Muhammad with a knee. Blood everywhere. JDM lands some big shots. JDM 49, Muhammad 46.

Valentina Shevchenko (C) def. Manon Fiorot by unanimous decision

Shevchenko bloodied Fiorot and her striking overcame Fiorot’s attempt to keep her legendary opponent wrapped up.

Fiorot showed grit and power while controlling huge chucks of each round with her wrestling. But Shevchenko, who allowed her opponent to stalk, countered with big shots.

All three judges scored the five-round flyweight title fight 48-47 for Shevchenko.

Shevchenko, the 37-year-old from Kyrgyzstan, was appearing in a 12th straight title fight and improved her record to 25-4-1 (14-3-1 UFC).

Fiorot, the 35-year-old from France, lost for the first time in 12 bouts, including seven UFC fights.

ROUND 1: Manon Fiorot carries into the fight a 12-fight winning streak. But to extend it she’ll have to beat the legendary Valentina Shevchenko.

Fiorot applies some early pressure, but a poised Shevchenko lands a right to the face. Fiorot rushes forward and throws a punch but it doesn’t land. Shevchenko looks comfortable but waiting to counter. Shevchenko unleashes a couple of kicks but misses the target. Fiorot rushes forward again and eats a right, and she’s bleeding badly from the nose. Perhaps a broken nose. What a bloody mess. Shevchenko scores with the right and then a takedown. Fiorot looks defeated, but she’s digging elbows into Shevchenko’s rib cage as Shevchenko stays on top as the round ends. Shevchenko 10, Fiorot 9.

ROUND 2: Fiorot tries to wrap up Shevchenko without success. Action slows as Shevchenko waits on Fiorot. Shevchenko scores a takedown but Fiorot is quickly on her feet. Now they’re wrapped up again and Fiorot lands a knee to the midsection. That shot to the nose did not deter Fiorot, who’s starting to apply pressure. She has Shevchenko on the fence and is kneeing Shevchenko to the glute and elbows Shevchenko as they sperate. Fiorot scores a takedown and is landing punches with Shevchenko on the ground and against the fence. Shevchenko blocks a vicious-looking knee as the round ends. Shevchenko 19, Fiorot 19.

ROUND 3: Shevchenko on the run a bit, content to let Fiorot be the aggressor. Fiorot attacking with her knee and pins Shevchenko against the fence. Crowd grows restless as the action slows. Shevchenko breaks free and lands a spin kick. But quickly Fiorot has Shevchenko wrapped up and is kneeing her in the thigh. Fiorot demonstrating power and determination. Fiorot 29, Shevchenko 28.

ROUND 4: Shevchenko scored with a stiff jab and Fiorot is bleeding again. Fiorot bulls Shevchenko against the fence and scores with her knees. Shevchenko gets free, but Fiorot looking to another takedown with blood on her face. Shevchenko lands a spin kick to the body. Fiorot gets Shevchenko back on the fence and is using those knees again and they separate. Shevchenko scores the takedown with about a minute left, but Fiorot is quickly back on her feet and they clinch for about half a minute. Shevchenko lands two rights and drops Fiorot! Fiorot 38, Shevchenko 38.

Round 5: Fiorot stalking, lands a knee. Then she wraps up Shevchenko again, briefly. Chants go up. “Valentina! Valentina!” They’ve settled at the center of the octagon before Shevchenko starts moving again. Shevchenko spun and landed a punch to the face, at which point Fiorot pinned Shevchenko against the fence. Shevchenko away and fires a kick. More clinching on the fence. Zzzzz. They separate. Fiorot lands a nice right and uses the moment to wrap up Shevchenko. Crowd boos. Round ends, appropriately if not satisfyingly, with the fighters in a clinch. Shevchenko 48, Fiorot 47.

Aiemann Zahabi def. Jose Aldo by unanimous decision

Zahabi did more than win the fight. He also appeared to send Aldo into retirement.

“I don’t think I have it in me anymore,’’ Aldo, a 38-year-old Brazilian and Hall of Famer, said through a translator after the fight.

Blood was splattered on the mat when the featherweight bout ended. That blood belonged to Aldo.

After getting knocked down early in the third round, Zahabi chased down the Hall of Famer and for the last two minutes of the fight he pounded Aldo.

An elbow with about 40 seconds left opened up a big cut on Aldo’s forehead. But somehow he survived the round – perhaps the final round of his career.

All three judges scored the fight 29-28 in favor of Zahabi.

Aldo failed to win for the fourth time in seven fights as his record fell to 32-10 (14-9 UFC)

Zahabi, a 37-year-old Canadian, won his fifth straight fight and improved to 12-2 (6-2 UFC). 

ROUND 1: Aldo, the Hall of Famer, steps into the octagon with unclear intentions: Does he truly think he has a shot at fighting for a title again? Or is he putting himself at unnecessary risk of injury because he can’t stomach permanent retirement? Aiemann Zahabi might be the man to provide the answer.

Aldo comes out stalking. One minute, one jab. Aldo lets loose with a right head kick. It’s blocked. Zahabi stays on the run, but Aldo connects with a left. Lands a big right and another combination. Zahabi throws a hard right and loses his balance. Aldo looks poised and patient (too patient?) as he looks for an opportunity to connect. He throws two hard body shots. Now Zahabi pressuring and he catches Aldo with a handful of punches before Aldo responds. Big exchanges as the round ends. Aldo 10, Zahabi 9.

ROUND 2: Zahabi attacks early with a knee to the body. Aldo then keeps him at bay with a kick to the body. Zahabi fires a couple of jabs. Aldo responds with a combination, and Zahabi fires back. Aldo digs in with a body shot. Both fighters firing and neither taking control of this round. Zahabi sporting a cut on the corner of his right eye, evidence Aldo has landed. Brief delay after Zahabi kicks Aldo in the protective cup. Then happens a second time – or close. Aldo grinning instead of wincing. Zahabi lands a couple of solid punches as the round ends. Aldo 19, Zahabi 19.

ROUND 3: Aldo has the high guard in place but it doesn’t keep him from throwing and landing punches. Zahabi connects with a combination with this fight potentially up for grabs. Zahabi scores again and then Aldo scores with a knee and knocks him down with a kick. Zahabi on the run but nails Aldo with a right. It’s a brawl unfolding. Zahabi scores with two knees and Aldo running out of gas. Zahabi unloading and Aldo looks cooked. Tries a takedown and falls down. Zahabi on top and Aldo in trouble. Zahabi on top of Aldo and landing elbows as Aldo tries to cover up. Somehow Aldo hanging on here. Zahabi opens up a cut on Aldo’s forehead, doing serious damage as less than 40 seconds remain in the fight. Aldo survives with blood strewn on the mat. Zahabi 29, Aldo 28.

Natalia Silva def. Alexa Grasso by unanimous decision

Grasso’s face told the story. It sported knots, welts and a cut that bled profusely.

All courtesy of Silva.

Silva battered Grasso, the former UFC champion, with an assortment of kicks and punches while she frustrated Grasso by staying on the move during the three-round flyweight fight.

All three judges scored it 30-27 for Silva, the 28-year-old from Brazil who won for the 13th time in a row. She improved her record to 19-5-1 (7-0 UFC)

Grasso, a 31-year-old from Mexico, entered the women’s flyweight bout No. 3 in the UFC women’s pound-for-pound rankings. But her record fell to 16-5-1 (8-5-1 UFC) after Silva’s dominant performance.

ROUND 1: Natalia Silva enters having won 12 straight bouts. But to keep that record alive, she’ll have to beat a former UFC champion — Alexa Grasso.

Grasso opens with a pedestrian low kick. Silva unleashes a kick to the head. But Grasso comes back with a nice right. Silva responds quickly with her feet and fists. Silva stalking and connects with a left hook. Silva’s speed very evident. Grasso scores with a double jab. Silva answers with a couple of kicks that miss and then one to the head that may have squeezed through. Silva slips on a kick and Grasso scores a takedown. Doesn’t last long before Silva squirts free. A nice exchange follows. Silva connects with a kick to the face, but Grasso comes right back with her jab. Grasso scores with another jab, but Silva stays active and whips a spin kick. Silva 10, Grasso 9.

ROUND 2: Grasso opens with her double jab again. It’s her primary weapon. Silva looking like the Energizer Bunny and she connects with a head kick and then lands a left hook. Grasso looks almost flat-footed compared to Silva, who’s staying on the move between kicks and punches. Silva getting her steps in today, to the frustration of Grasso. Silva gets rushed and responds with a left, then connects with a jab. Crowd’s booing, maybe tiring of Silva staying on the move. But she pounds Grasso with a right-legged kick down the middle. Grasso wants to trade. She gets her chance late, pounding Silva but taking punches too. Silva 20, Grasso 18.

ROUND 3: Grasso comes out aggressively. The speedy Silva lands a couple of shots, but Grasso wraps up Silva and attempts the takedown. She’s got her pressed against the fence and lands a knee. Silva breaks free, and her face is red and swollen. Silva connects with another left, and probably another lump. Grasso tries to chase her down. Silva slows and delivers kicks and delivers a side kick to Grasso’s chest. Silva lands another hard head kick, opening a cut. A spinning kick follows as Grasso bleeds profusely. Silva smiling and pounds Grasso as the fight ends. Silva 30, Grasso 27.

Benoit Saint-Denis def. Kyle Prepolec by submission (arm triangle)

Saint-Denis mauled Prepolec and ended the fight with an arm triangle at 2:35 of the second round of the lightweight bout. He dominated the first round after scoring an early takedown and keeping Prepolec wrapped up.

About the only thing that could slow Saint-Denis was an eye poke early in the second round. After taking time to regroup, Prepolec caught him with a couple of shots.

But Saint-Denis got revved up again, pounding Prepolec with elbows and punches before taking him down and finishing him off.

Saint-Denis, a 29-year-old from France, improved his record to 14-3 (6-3). Prepolec, a 35-year-old Canadian, lost his first UFC match since 2019 and dropped to 18-9 (0-3 UFC).

ROUND 1: Kyle Prepolec, a Canadian, is on the mat for his first UFC fight since 2019. France’s Benoit Saint-Denis, by contrast, fought six times in the UFC over the past two years and is 4-2 in those bouts.

Saint-Denis gets the quick takedown. He looks in control, but isn’t capitalizing with punches or getting in position for a submission. Crowd booing as the two fighters stay wrapped up. Saint-Denis delivers a few elbows and threatens to wrap his right forearm under Prepolec’s neck. Prepolec gets back on his feet and Saint-Denis wrestles him right back down to the mat. Saint-Denis pounds a couple of lefts on Prepolec’s head after failing to wrap his arm around Prepolec’s neck. Saint-Denis mounts Prepolec for the potential chokehold but the horn sounds. Saint-denis had Prepolec down for about 90% of the round. Saint-Denis 10, Prepolec 9.

ROUND 2: Now Saint-Denis swinging, with his fists and then a leg. But Prepolec stops him – with an eye poke. Needs time to regroup and then Prepolec welcomes him back with a big left hand. Saint-Denis responds with elbows to the head. Prepolec gets in an elbow of his own, but Saint-Denis is taking over. More elbows followed by a knee. Saint-Denis scores another takedown 2½ minutes into the round and Prepolec taps out at 2:35 of the second round! 

Mike Malott def. Charles Radtke by TKO

Malott took a solid left hand from Radtke just moments into the second round. It was worth the pain.

Malott, at the same time he got hit, connected with a brutal left that dropped Radtke to the canvas. Malott then pounced, throttling Radtke with a flurry of punches before the referee halted the fight 26 seconds into the second round of the welterweight fight.

The victory for Malott, a 33-year-old from Canada, exhilarated the Montreal crowd as he improved his record to 12-2-1 (5-1 UFC).

Radtke, a 34-year-old from Chicago, lost for the third time in four fights as his record fell to 10-5 (3-2 UFC).

Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Jessica Andrade by submission (rear naked choke)

Jasudavicius scored a takedown less than two minutes into the first round of the women’s flyweight bout and the assault was on.

Jasudavicius pounded Andrade’s head with right hands and then submitted her with a rear naked choke at 2:40 of the first round.

The Montreal crowd roared for Jasudavicius, a 36-year-old Canadian who won for the fifth time in a row. She improved her record to 14-3 (8-2 UFC).

Andrade, a 33-year-old Brazilian, failed to land anything of consequence against Jasudavicius as her record dropped to 26-12 (17-4 UFC).

Modestas Bukauskas def. Ion Cutelaba by split decision

The three judges stole the spotlight for all the wrong reasons in a controversial decision.

Bukauskas appeared to need a finish as the fight headed into the third round. Cutelaba, who seemed to dominate the fight early, grew less active as the light heavyweight fight came to a close.

It cost him.

The judges scored the fight 27-30, 30-27, 29-28 in favor of Bukauskas.

Three times, Cutelaba unleashed spinning kicks and all three times he fell to the ground. But he made up for the poor kicking technique with active fists. But it was Bukauskas who threw the more punishing punches in the final round.

Bukauskas, a 31-year-old born in Lithuania, won for the fifth time in six fights and improved his record to 17-6 (6-4 UFC).

Cutelaba, a 31-year-old from Moldova, had won three of his last four fights but his record fell to 19-11-1 (8-10-1 UFC).

Navajo Stirling def. Ivan Erslan by unanimous decision

Stirling took control of a close fight with about a minute left in the third round when he dropped Erslan with a hard right.

The attack escalated as Stirling got on top of Erslan and landed more punches before the three-round light heavyweight fight came to an end.

Erslan gained command in the first round with a handful of nasty right hands, one of which opened up a cut under Stirling’s right eye. But Stirling responded in the second and third rounds with a blend of kicks and grappling before he landed the game-changing right hand.

The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 29-27.

Stirling, a 27-year-old from New Zealand, improved to 7-0 (2-0 UFC). Erslan, a 33-year-old from Croatia, lost for the fourth time in six fights and his record dropped to 14-5 (4-4 UFC).

Bruno Silva alert after KO

Silva, who got knocked unconscious in his fight with Marc-Andre Barriault, was alert and had movement in all of his extremities after leaving the octagon, according to report on the ESPN broadcast that cited UFC Chief Medical Director Jeff Davidson.

Davidson said Silva had movement in all of his extremities but complained about his neck, and he was taken to the hospital, according to ESPN. He will get head and neck scans.

Update: All X-rays are negative on Silva, per ESPN, and he is expected to be released from the hospital Saturday night.

Marc-Andre Barriault def. Bruno Silva by KO

Barriault knocked Silva unconscious with three elbows, dropping him to the canvas and following up with a handful of rights before the referee stopped the fight at 1:27 of the first round.

Barriault, a 35-year-old Canadian, climbed atop the fence and basked in applause from the Montreal crowd after the middleweight bout. At the same time, Silva remained face-down and appeared to need at least two minutes to regain consciousness.

Silva was taken out of the octagon on a stretcher.

Barriault ended a three-fight skid and improved his record to 17-9 (6-8 UFC).

Silva, a 35-year-old Brazilian, lost for the fifth time in a row and his record dropped to 23-13 (4-7 UFC).

Daniel Santos def. JeongYeong Lee by unanimous decision

Santos got knocked down in the first round and by the end was bleeding under the eye. Which demonstrated how impressive he was in the three-round featherweight bout.

Lee knocked down Santos in the first round with a right hand, and Santos responded with his own right that dropped Lee to a knee. It commenced as a brawl, which left Lee with a cut at the corner of his right eye, and Santos gained control in the second and third rounds with impressive grappling.

All three judges scored the fight 30-27.

Santos, a 31-year-old Brazilian, was fighting for the first time in almost two years and showed no ring rust while improving to 13-2 (3-1 UFC).

Lee, a 29-year-old from South Korea, had won eight of his last nine fights before the loss, which dropped his record to 11-3 (2-2 UFC)

Bekzat Almakhan def. Brad Katona by TKO

Almakhan floored Katona with a brutal uppercut in the first round and, with Katona on his back, finished him off with a couple of right hands.

The fists were flying early in this bantamweight fight. But Almakhan absorbed an uppercut from Katona before delivering his own, and the referee stopped the fight at 1:04 of the first round.

Almakhan, a 27-year-old from Kazakhstan, was coming off a loss by unanimous decision in his UFC debut. But he rebounded by demolishing Katona, a 33-year-old Canadian.

Almakhan improved his record to 12-2 (1-1 UFC) and Katona fell to 14-5 (4-5 UFC).

UFC 315: Time, PPV, streaming for Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena

The highly anticipated matchup between Belal Muhammad and Jack Della Maddalena will take place on Saturday, May 10 and can be purchased on ESPN+ PPV.

  • Date: Saturday, May 10
  • Location: Bell Centre (Montreal)
  • Early prelims start time: 6:30 p.m. ET
  • Early prelims stream: ESPN+, Disney+
  • Prelims card start time: 8 p.m. ET
  • Prelims card TV: ESPN; Prelims stream: ESPN+
  • Main card start time: 10 p.m. ET
  • Main card stream: ESPN+ PPV

Catch UFC action with an ESPN+ subscription

UFC 315 preliminary and main card start times

  • Early prelims: 6:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+, Disney+)
  • Prelims: 8 p.m. ET (ESPN, ESPN+)
  • Main card: 10 p.m. ET (PPV on ESPN+)

UFC 315: Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena card

Main card

  • Welterweight Title: Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena
  • Flyweight title: Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot
  • Bantamweight: Jose Aldo vs. Aiemann Zahabi
  • Flyweight: Alexa Grasso vs. Natalia Silva
  • Lightweight: Benoit Saint Denis vs. Kyle Prepolec

Prelims

  • Welterweight: Mike Malott vs. Charles Radtke
  • Flyweight: Jessica Andrade vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
  • Light heavyweight: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Ion Cutelaba
  • Light heavyweight: Navajo Stirling vs. Ivan Erslan

Early prelims

  • Middleweight: Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Bruno Silva
  • Featherweight: Daniel Santos vs. Jeong Yeong Lee
  • Bantamweight: Brad Katona vs. Bekzat Almakhan

UFC 315 predictions

CBS Sports: Ian Machado Garry picks Belal Muhammad

Gary told CBS Sports: ‘Every minute that goes by puts Belal in a better position because he is a workhorse. He’s a grinder. He’ll grab hold of you and beat you. He’ll be in your grill. He will make it ugly. He will slam you. He will constantly be there. I’ve watched Jack get ragdolled by people who aren’t as good as Belal… Honestly, I think he gets a finish in the later rounds. If Jack can survive until three or four, I think that’s when the finish will come.’

Bleacher Report: Two of the three combat sports experts pick Belal Muhammad

Tom Taylor writes: ‘Della Maddalena is one of my favorite fighters to watch right now, but I’ve got to disagree with Lyle on this one. While the Aussie is a much sharper striker than Muhammad, I don’t think that will matter much. Muhammad is a master at overwhelming his opponents on the mat, and we saw Gilbert Burns successfully control Della Maddalena in that area. Considering Della Maddalena hasn’t fought since his win over Burns, which was well over a year ago, ring rust could also be a factor for him. I just can’t shake the feeling that he will get mauled, even if he’s too tough to be finished.’

Sports Illustrated: Leon Edwards picks Jack Della Maddalena

Mathew Riddle writes Edwards’ remarks on the Ariel Helwani Show: ‘If I could put money on it I’d probably favor JDM. My thing with JDM is his boxing will probably shut him down and he’s a good anti-grappler, like you can take him down but his scrambles on the floor are good. I feel like Belal won’t be enough to hold him down for that long.’

UFC 315 live stream

The early prelims will be available to stream via ESPN+ and Disney+. The prelims follow with coverage on ESPN as well as streaming on ESPN+. The main event is available on ESPN+ PPV.

The early prelims will be available to stream via ESPN+ and Disney+. The prelims follow with coverage on ESPN as well as streaming on ESPN+. The main event is available on ESPN+ PPV.

UFC 315 price

UFC events are available to ESPN+ subscribers for $119.99 for the entire year. You can also purchase a monthly subscription of ESPN+ for $11.99. The PPV is available for an additional $79.99.

Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena: Tale of the tape

This post appeared first on USA TODAY

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Last Friday, the S&P 500 finished the week just below 5700. The question going into this week was, “Will the S&P 500 get propelled above the 200-day?” And as I review the evidence after Friday’s close, I’m noting that the SPX is almost exactly where it was one week ago!

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By the way, we last ran this analytical process on the S&P 500 back in January, and you need to see which scenario actually played out!

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Let’s start with the most optimistic scenario, with the S&P 500 index continuing the recent uptrend phase to retest all-time highs by June.

Option 1: The Super Bullish Scenario

Our most bullish scenario would mean that the aggressive rally phase off the April low would essentially continue in its current form. After perhaps the briefest of pullbacks at the 200-day moving average, we continue to the upside. This scenario would most likely mean the Magnificent 7 stocks would have to really find their mojo, with names like GOOGL, AAPL, and AMZN finally breaking through their 200-day moving averages.

Dave’s Vote: 10%

Option 2: The Mildly Bullish Scenario

What if the S&P 500 stalls around the 200-day, with a pullback that inspires even more indecision among investors? Perhaps we are still in “wait and see” mode as some tariff negotiations prove fruitful, but empty shipping containers remind consumers of the prospects of chronic inflation.  By mid-June, we’re no closer to a real clear sense of direction than we are today.

Dave’s vote: 30%

Option 3: The Mildly Bearish Scenario

Because of the time frame I’ve selected, there won’t be another Fed meeting until after this period is over. So, what if inflation data starts to imply real price issues, consumer sentiment really starts to falter, and the Fed is unable to take any meaningful action to address mounting concerns? If we fail to push above the 200-day moving average soon, then 5500 would be a likely area of support on the way down.  This scenario brings us right back down to that level.

Dave’s vote: 40%

Option 4: The Very Bearish Scenario

You always need a bear case, and this one would entail a new distribution phase that takes the major benchmarks down to retest the April low. I’d say a reasonable downside objective would be 5100, and we’ll spend the month of June debating whether we’re forming a huge double bottom pattern or see another bounce higher. Defensive sectors shine as investors rotate big time to risk-off positions.

Dave’s vote: 20%

What probabilities would you assign to each of these four scenarios?  Check out the video below, and then drop a comment with which scenario you select and why!

RR#6,

Dave

P.S. Ready to upgrade your investment process? Check out my free behavioral investing course!

David Keller, CMT

President and Chief Strategist

Sierra Alpha Research LLC

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

The author does not have a position in mentioned securities at the time of publication. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

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Stock

Investment Portfolio Feeling Stagnant? Transform Your Path Today

Stock 5 Mins Read

When your investment portfolio isn’t gaining ground, it’s natural to feel uneasy, especially in a market that lacks direction. A headline-driven environment only adds to the uneasiness, making it more difficult to decide whether to buy, hold, or sell.

This is a challenging situation for investors. The S&P 500 ($SPX) is still hovering close to its “Liberation Day” level, struggling to break above it. Of the three major indexes, the Nasdaq Composite ($COMPQ) was able to break above the April 2 levels, but is having a hard time reaching its March 25 high, which, as of this writing, aligns with its 200-day simple moving average (SMA).

What’s Behind the Lack of Direction?

Much of the market’s indecision centers on uncertainty surrounding tariffs. Trade deals are front and center in the news, with the most important one being with China. Those talks kick off this weekend. While President Trump’s suggestion of lowering the tariffs against China from 145% to 80% was a step, stocks didn’t react much. It’s still a very high rate and probably not what investors wanted to hear, and thus the market ultimately closed lower on Friday.

The S&P 500’s recent trading behavior reflects the uncertainty. In the last seven trading days, movement has been muted, a drastic change from the wide-ranging days of early April (see chart below). Of late, any optimistic news gets investors a little upbeat, but the enthusiasm fades quickly. 

FIGURE 1. DAILY CHART OF S&P 500. The last seven days are narrow range days, unlike the wide-ranging days from early April.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes

Sector performance isn’t showing clear dominance either. On strong days, Consumer Discretionary, Technology, and Communication Services take the lead. On weaker days, defensive areas like Utilities, Energy, and Consumer Staples step in. This flip-flopping suggests investors lack conviction.

Mid and Small-Caps: Gaining Momentum

The S&P 400 Mid Cap Index ($MID) and S&P 600 Small Cap Index ($SML) posted five straight weeks of gains. This was picked up from the Market Summary page (Equities panel, weekly streak column). This warrants a closer look at these two asset groups.

Mid-cap stocks are showing slight signs of recovery. In the weekly chart of the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index, the index is approaching a near-term resistance level (blue dashed line), the percentage of stocks trading above their 200-day moving average is trending higher, and there’s no consistent move in the Advance-Decline Percent or Advance-Decline Volume Percent.

FIGURE 2. WEEKLY CHART OF S&P 400 MID-CAP INDEX. There are signs of the start of an upside move, but far from confirmed. Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

The weekly chart of the S&P 600 Small Cap Index mirrors the behavior in $MID—$SML is trading above its 10-week simple moving average, the percentage of stocks trading above its 200-day moving average is rising, and there’s a slight increase in the Volume Advance-Decline Percent.

FIGURE 3. WEEKLY CHART OF S&P 600 SMALL CAP INDEX. Similar to the chart in Figure 2, small-cap stocks are also showing slight signs of a potential rally, although it’s a long way away from confirming an uptrend. Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

Mid- and small-cap stocks didn’t participate much in the large-cap Mag 7 bull rally. Maybe things are beginning to look better for these stocks, especially if large-cap growth stocks get bogged down by tariffs.

Looking at the three-month performance across the S&P Sector ETFs, Utilities and Consumer Staples are the best performers, followed by Real Estate and Industrials.

FIGURE 4. THREE-MONTH PERFCHART OF S&P SECTOR ETFS. Consumer Staples and Utilities are the top performers over the last three months, followed by Real Estate and Industrials.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

If your portfolio leans heavily toward mid- and small-cap stocks, it may be worth monitoring the performance of these groups. These stocks can rally quickly, but can also fade just as quickly. If you’ve been holding on to those stocks for over a decade, a big upside move could offer an opportunity to take profits or re-evaluate your portfolio.

The Bottom Line: Be Prepared

Next week promises a slew of market-moving news: earnings reports, trade deals, and key inflation data. It may be best to stay on the sidelines until the market digests the news. However, if you see a chance to take profits or reduce risk, don’t let them slip away.

End-of-Week Wrap-Up

  • S&P 500 down 0.47% on the week, at 5659.91, Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.16% on the week at 41,249.38; Nasdaq Composite down 0.27% on the week at 17,928.92.
  • $VIX down 3.44% on the week, closing at 21.90.
  • Best performing sector for the week: Industrials
  • Worst performing sector for the week: Health Care
  • Top 5 Large Cap SCTR stocks: Palantir Technologies, Inc. (PLTR); Duolingo Inc. (DUOL); Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD); MicroStrategy (MSTR); Applovin Corp. (APP)

On the Radar Next Week

  • Earnings season continues with several small and mid-cap companies reporting.
  • April Consumer Price Index (CPI)
  • April Producer Price Index (PPI)
  • April Retail Sales
  • Fed speeches from Powell, Jefferson, Daly, and others.

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

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Where the Market Goes Next: Key Resistance Levels + Top Bullish Stocks to Watch Now

Stock 1 Min Read

Want to know where the stock market is headed next? In this week’s market update, Mary Ellen McGonagle analyzes key resistance levels and reveals what’s fueling the current uptrend. She highlights top bullish setups among U.S. leadership stocks, plus global names showing strength.

This video originally premiered May 9, 2025. You can watch it on our dedicated page for Mary Ellen’s videos.

New videos from Mary Ellen premiere weekly on Fridays. You can view all previously recorded episodes at this link.

If you’re looking for stocks to invest in, be sure to check out the MEM Edge Report! This report gives you detailed information on the top sectors, industries and stocks so you can make informed investment decisions.

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Investing

Crypto Market Recap: Bitcoin Breaks US$100,000 as ETF Inflows Rise, Coinbase Makes US$2.9 Billion Power Play

Investing 4 Mins Read

Here’s a quick recap of the crypto landscape for Friday (May 9) as of 9:00 p.m. UTC.

Get the latest insights on Bitcoin, Ethereum and altcoins, along with a round-up of key cryptocurrency market news.

Bitcoin and Ethereum price update

Bitcoin (BTC) was priced at US$103,027 as markets opened, up 1.3 percent in 24 hours. After breaking through the US$100,000 threshold Thursday (May 8) the digital asset has found support. The day’s range has seen a low of US$102,871 and a high of US$103,672.

Bitcoin performance, May 9, 2025.

Chart via TradingView.

Bitcoin’s recent price surge is driven by the US government’s decision to legalize strategic Bitcoin reserves—boosting investor confidence and signaling institutional backing—alongside growing global adoption supported by favorable regulations and broader acceptance across sectors.

Ethereum (ETH) started the trading day at US$2,220 and quickly rallied. The cryptocurrency reached an intraday low of US$1,792.06 and saw a daily high of US$2,415.

Altcoin price update

  • Solana (SOL) opened at US$169.63 up 4.57 percent over 24 hours. SOL experienced a low of US$151.51 and a high of US$171.39.
  • XRP was trading at US$2.33, reflecting a 5 percent increase over 24 hours. The cryptocurrency reached a daily high of US$2.36 midday.
  • Sui (SUI) was priced at US$3.80, showing an increaseof 0.50 percent over the past 24 hours. It achieved a daily low of US$3.36 and a high of US$3.92.
  • Cardano (ADA) is trading at US$0.7866, up 7 percent over the past 24 hours. Its lowest price of the day was US$0.71, and it reached a high of US$0.79.

Today’s crypto news to know

Bitcoin surges past $100,000 amid trade optimism and institutional inflows

Bitcoin (BTC) has reclaimed the US$100,000 mark for the first time since February, driven by optimism surrounding a new US-UK trade deal and significant institutional investments. On May 8, US Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows totaling US$117.4 million, with BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC leading the gains.

Additionally, the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady has bolstered investor confidence in crypto markets.

Coinbase acquires Deribit in landmark US$2.9 billion crypto derivatives deal

Coinbase has announced its acquisition of Deribit, a leading crypto derivatives exchange, for $2.9 billion—the largest deal in the crypto industry to date. This strategic move positions Coinbase to expand its offerings in the crypto options market, catering to the growing demand for advanced trading products.

The acquisition includes US$700 million in cash and 11 million shares of Coinbase Class A common stock. Deribit, which processed US$1.2 trillion in trading volume last year, controls approximately 85 percent of the global crypto options market.

This deal is expected to enhance Coinbase’s presence in the international derivatives market and diversify its revenue streams.

Analysts view the acquisition as a significant step for Coinbase to compete with other major exchanges like Binance and Kraken in the derivatives space. The transaction is subject to regulatory approvals and is anticipated to close later this year. Until then, Deribit will continue its operations as usual.

Celsius founder sentenced to 12 years for crypto fraud

Alex Mashinsky, founder and former CEO of Celsius Network, has been sentenced to 12 years in federal prison for defrauding customers and manipulating the price of the company’s CEL token.

Between 2018 and 2022, Mashinsky misled investors about the safety of their funds, using customer deposits to inflate CEL’s value and personally profiting over US$48 million. Celsius, which once managed over US$25 billion in assets, collapsed in 2022 amid a broader crypto market downturn, leaving thousands of users unable to access their funds.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

Securities Disclosure: I, Meagen Seatter, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

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Investing

7 Copper ETFs and ETNs

Investing 4 Mins Read

There’s more than one way to invest in copper. In addition to buying shares of copper stocks, investors can gain exposure through copper exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or copper exchange-traded notes (ETNs).

For the uninitiated, ETFs are securities that trade like stocks on an exchange, but track an index, commodity, bonds or a basket of assets like an index fund. In the case of base metal copper, there are various options — an ETF can track specific groups of copper-focused companies, as well as copper futures contracts or even physical copper.

ETNs also track an underlying asset and trade like stocks on an exchange, but they differ from ETFs in some ways. Specifically, ETNs are more like bonds — they are unsecured debt notes issued by an institution, and can be held to maturity or bought and sold at will. The main disadvantage to be aware of is that investors risk total default if an ETN’s underwriter goes bankrupt.

The copper outlook is strong as demand rises and concerns about supply increase as the energy transition gains traction. This has caused many investors to wonder how to take advantage of the potential in the copper market.

1. Global X Copper Miners ETF (ARCA:COPX)

Assets under management: US$2.09 billion

The Global X Copper Miners ETF tracks the Solactive Global Copper Miners Index, which covers copper exploration companies, developers and producers. The fund has an expense ratio of 0.65 percent.

The fund currently has 39 holdings, with the top three companies being First Quantum Minerals (TSX:FM,OTC Pink:FQVLF), Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX) and Lundin Mining (TSX:LUN,OTC Pink:LUNMF).

2. United States Copper Index Fund (ARCA:CPER)

Assets under management: US$162.94 million

The United States Copper Index Fund aims to give investors exposure to a portfolio of copper futures without using a commodity futures account. It has an expense ratio of 1.04 percent.

The fund tracks the performance of the SummerHaven Copper Index Total Return (INDEXNYSEGIS:SCITR), which is calculated based on certain copper futures contracts selected on a monthly basis.

3. Sprott Physical Copper Trust (TSX:COP.U,OTCQX:SPHCF)

Assets under management: US$96.59 million

A relatively new ETF, the Sprott Physical Copper Trust was established in July 2024 and is one of the first funds to be based around physical copper. The fund has an expense ratio of 2.03 percent.

As of the start of May 2025, the fund held 10,157 metric tons of copper worth US$96.59 million.

4. iShares Copper and Metals Mining ETF (NASDAQ:ICOP)

Assets under management: US$50.63 million

The iShares Copper and Metals Mining ETF tracks the STOXX Global Copper and Metals Mining Index, which is composed of public companies primarily engaged in copper and metal mining. It has an expense ratio of 0.47 percent.

The fund represents a global portfolio of 41 copper companies. Its top three holdings are Grupo Mexico (OTC Pink:GMBXF,BMV:GMEXICOB), BHP (NYSE:BHP,ASX:BHP,LSE:BHP) and Freeport McMoRan.

5. Sprott Copper Miners ETF (NASDAQ:COPP)

Assets under management: US$23.65 million

Sprott Asset Management bills its Sprott Copper Miners ETF as ‘the only pure-play ETF focused on large-, mid- and small-cap copper mining companies that are providing a critical mineral necessary for the clean energy transition.’

It came to market in March 2024, and has an expense ratio of 0.65 percent.

The fund is made up of a portfolio of 49 companies and has a market cap of US$279 billion; it is rebalanced twice a year in June and December. The fund’s top three holdings are Freeport-McMoRan, Teck Resources (TSX:TECK.A,TECK.B,NYSE:TECK) and Ivanhoe Mines (TSX:IVN,OTCQX:IVPAF).

6. Sprott Junior Copper Miners ETF (NASDAQ:COPJ)

Assets under management: US$12.6 million

Launched in February 2023, the Sprott Junior Copper Miners is a pure-play ETF that, as its name suggests, is focused on small-cap copper miners. It has an expense ratio of 0.76 percent.

The fund consists of 40 companies, and its top three holdings are Northern Dynasty Minerals (TSX:NDM,NYSEAMERICAN:NAK), Solaris Resources (TSX:SLS,NYSEAMERICAN:SLSR) and Atalaya Mining (LSE:ATYM).

Like Sprott’s other copper fund on this list, COPJ is rebalanced twice a year in June and December.

7. iPath Series B Bloomberg Copper Subindex Total Return ETN (OTC Pink:JJCTF)

Assets under management: US$6.9 million

The iPath Series B Bloomberg Copper Subindex Total Return ETN provides exposure to the Bloomberg Copper Subindex Total Return. According to Barclays (LSE:BARC), the note ‘reflects the returns that are potentially available through an unleveraged investment in the futures contracts on copper.’ It is tied to the high-grade copper futures contract available on the Comex and carries an expense ratio of 0.75 percent.

Unlike an ETF, an ETN does not own the underlying asset. Instead, an ETN functions in the same way as an uninsured bond. Investopedia states that investors take their profits when they sell the note or it reaches maturity.

Securities Disclosure: I, Dean Belder, hold shares of Northern Dynasty Minerals.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

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Investing

Triumph Gold Updates Shareholders on Operations, Engages Market Maker, and Grants Options

Investing 6 Mins Read

  • Reviews 2025 exploration strategy across Freegold Mountain and Andalusite Peak
  • Advances acquisition strategy targeting high-grade silver assets
  • Engages Independent Trading Group to improve trading liquidity

triumph gold Corp. (TSXV: TIG) (OTC Pink: TIGCF) (FSE: 8N61) is pleased to provide an operational update as it enters 2025 with a refined exploration focus, strategic growth objectives, and a commitment to responsible development. The Company also announced it has engaged a market maker and granted incentive stock options.

Leadership and Direction

triumph gold continues under the leadership of John Anderson, Chairman and Interim Chief Executive Officer. With over 25 years of experience in the capital markets and resource sectors, Anderson has guided the Company since its early days as Northern Freegold.

‘We’ve taken meaningful steps to streamline operations and position the Company for disciplined growth,’ said Anderson. ‘With strong core assets, a focused strategy, and improving market conditions for gold and copper, Triumph prepares to enter the second quarter of 2025 ready to pursue opportunities that create long-term value’.

Key Assets and Positioning

Freegold Mountain Project

Located in Yukon, the flagship Freegold Mountain Project hosts over 2 million gold equivalent ounces across three mineralized zones, as defined in a 2020 NI 43-101 resource estimate. These deposits provide exposure to high-grade gold, copper, molybdenum, and tungsten at a time of increasing demand for critical minerals.

Andalusite Peak Property

Triumph’s Andalusite Peak copper-gold project is located in British Columbia’s Golden Horseshoe region, in proximity to major porphyry systems such as Saddle North and Red Chris. The Company plans to advance exploration in 2025 through geochemical surveys and mapping.

Favourable Jurisdictions
All assets are situated in well-established, mining-friendly regions of Yukon and British Columbia, offering stable permitting frameworks and access to infrastructure.

2025 Growth Strategy

triumph gold’s 2025 strategy centers on project advancement, portfolio expansion, and disciplined exploration:

  • Strategic Acquisitions
    The Company is evaluating potential acquisitions of high-quality silver projects to complement and diversify its current asset base.

  • Advancing Andalusite Peak
    Located in British Columbia’s Golden Horseshoe near Newmont’s Saddle North and Red Chris projects, the Andalusite Peak property will focus on geochemical surveys and detailed geological mapping in 2025.

  • Expanding Freegold Mountain Exploration
    Triumph will review historical datasets and define new exploration targets outside current resource zones to support potential discoveries.

Commitment to Responsible Development

triumph gold is committed to responsible exploration and development. The Company maintains active engagement with First Nations and local communities, recognizes the traditional territories on which its projects are located, and prioritizes environmental stewardship and cultural respect in all exploration activities.

Triumph Engages Independent Trading Group (‘ITG‘) as Market Maker

triumph gold announces that subject to regulatory approval, it has engaged the services of Independent Trading Group (‘ITG’) to provide market-making services in accordance with TSX Venture Exchange TSXV, CSE, and Cboe Canada policies. ITG will trade shares of the Company on the CSE/ Cboe Canada/ TSXV and all other trading venues to maintain a reasonable market and improve the liquidity of the Company’s common shares.

Under the agreement, ITG will receive compensation of CAD$6,500 per month, payable monthly in advance. The agreement is for an initial term of one month and will renew for additional one-month terms unless terminated. The agreement may be terminated by either party with 30 days’ notice. No performance factors are contained in the agreement, and ITG will not receive shares or options as compensation. ITG and the Company are unrelated and unaffiliated entities. At the time of the agreement, neither ITG nor its principals have an interest, directly or indirectly, in the securities of the Company.

triumph gold Issues Stock Options

The Company has granted 4,750,000 incentive stock options to directors, officers, employees, and consultants. The options are exercisable at $0.27 per share for a period of five years, with immediate vesting.

The options were granted pursuant to triumph gold’s rolling stock option plan, which has been approved by shareholders and the TSX Venture Exchange. This issuance is intended to retain and motivate key contributors and align long-term interests with those of shareholders.

Looking Ahead

triumph gold is entering 2025 with momentum, a clear strategy, and a commitment to shareholder value. The Company thanks its shareholders for their continued support and looks forward to sharing further updates in the months ahead. For more information or investor inquiries, please email John Anderson, Chairman & Interim CEO, at janderson@triumphgoldcorp.com.

About triumph gold Corp.

triumph gold is a Canadian-based, growth-oriented exploration and development company with a district-scale land package in the mining-friendly Yukon. Led by an experienced management and technical team, The Company is focused on actively advancing its flagship Freegold Mountain Project using multidiscipline exploration and evaluation techniques.

The road-accessible Freegold Mountain Project, located in the Dawson Range Au-Cu Belt, is host to three NI 43-101 Mineral Deposits (Nucleus, Revenue, and Tinta Hill). The Project is 200 square kilometres and covers an extensive section of the Big Creek Fault Zone, a structure directly related to epithermal gold and silver mineralization and gold-rich porphyry copper mineralization.

The Company owns 100% of the Big Creek and Tad/Toro gold-silver-copper properties situated along the strike of the Freegold Mountain Project within the Dawson Range.

The Company also owns 100% of the Andalusite Peak copper-gold property, 36 km southeast of Dease Lake within the Stikine Range in British Columbia.

triumph gold acknowledges the traditional territories of the Little Salmon Carmacks First Nation and Selkirk First Nation, on which the Company’s Yukon mineral exploration projects are located. triumph gold has a longstanding, ongoing engagement with these First Nations through communication, environmental stewardship, and local employment.

For more information, please visit triumphgoldcorp.com.

For further information about triumph gold, please contact:

John Anderson, Executive Chairman
triumph gold Corp.
(604) 218-7400
janderson@triumphgoldcorp.com

Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.

This news release contains forward-looking information, which involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to differ materially from current expectations. Important factors – including the availability of funds, the results of financing efforts, the completion of due diligence and the results of exploration activities – that could cause actual results to differ materially from the Company’s expectations are disclosed in the Company’s documents filed from time to time on SEDAR (see www.sedarplus.com). Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this press release. The company disclaims any intention or obligation, except to the extent required by law, to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/251572

News Provided by Newsfile via QuoteMedia

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

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