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AMELIA ISLAND, Fla. — He strolled around the place with a purpose, like a guy who knew something everyone else didn’t. 

Like a guy who got what he wanted all along. 

“We’re in a very good position right now,” Florida State athletic director Mike Alford said Wednesday during break in the annual ACC spring meetings. “Everything is moving forward.”

What a strange and eventually fruitful ride it has been.

Florida State was never headed to the Big Ten. Florida State was never negotiating with the Big Ten or having back-channel talks with the Big Ten.

No matter what some clown(s) on social media proclaimed. 

That doesn’t mean FSU wouldn’t have crawled through broken glass for the 1,000 miles from Tallahassee to the Big Ten headquarters in Chicago, it just means the Big Ten wasn’t biting. Ever.

But Florida State was negotiating with the ACC, its home conference since 1991. The school did want a better deal, and did feel as though it brought more to the table than the ACC was giving. 

BEST OF BEST: Our ranking of college football’s top 25 coaches

It did hire attorneys and threaten to leave the conference, and did play a negotiation game that ultimately left it with a clear, self-made path to financially running with the lead pack at the Big Ten and SEC. 

Or as Alford says, “I tell all of our fans now, when you come to the game, be sure to leave your televisions on at home.”

Because those television ratings are not only the lasting takeaway from more than a year of public – and at times, ugly – negotiation with the ACC, they’re critical to Florida State’s survival. 

At least now, the Seminoles have their financial destiny in its hands. The more high-value television games they play, the greater the media rights payout from the ACC. 

How much greater? Maybe as much as $18 million more annually for football. And more for basketball. 

“That’s in the ballpark,” Alford said. “Any school in our conference can go out and earn those numbers.”

And that’s what Florida State wanted all along, anyway. 

Alford’s point to ACC commissioner Jim Phillips (and the rest of the league): it wasn’t fiscally fair for Florida State – and Clemson and Miami – to pull the television weight of the conference, and everyone else benefit from it.

Why should the Seminoles spend top dollar on facilities and recruiting budgets, and do everything within its power to field a nationally competitive team, and receive the same media rights payout as other programs in the ACC who aren’t invested in getting better and spending money to make money? 

Why should Florida State, geographically surrounded by SEC recruiting heavyweights – Florida, Georgia, Alabama and Auburn – eventually making 50-60 percent more in media rights money, be forced to take the eventual fiscal undoing?

You can argue about the process, and if its legal wrangling with the ACC hurt relationships with the league (of course it did). But you can’t argue with survival mode. 

That’s why Alford was adamant during this week’s ACC spring meetings that the ACC should schedule more games of significance between conference members. He wants to play Clemson and Miami and Virginia Tech and North Carolina every year. 

He wants them to play each other, too. He wants the ACC to grow brands and programs within the conference, and win games of significance outside it. 

Like the season opener against Alabama in Tallahassee, and the return game to Tuscaloosa in 2026. Or the home and home series with Georgia in 2027-28.

Or the 2026 schedule that includes non-conference games against Alabama, Florida and Notre Dame.

That’s how Florida State will earn the television numbers to reach the media value initiative in the new deal with the ACC. By reaching those numbers, FSU (and Clemson and any other ACC team) could earn nearly $60 million annually in media rights revenue. 

That’s the clearest path to financial security ― not hoping for a new football division in 2030 when Florida State is now allowed to leave the ACC with a decreased buyout, or hoping ESPN will restructure a better deal after 2036. The money is there for the taking now. Go get it.

The SEC gave its 14 longtime member schools $52.5 million for the 2024 fiscal year, and the Big Ten gave $63.2 million to 12 of its 14 schools. Southern California and UCLA, which joined in July of 2024, will receive full shares in fiscal 2025, where the payout is expected to be around $75 million for 16 of its 18 schools (Washington and Oregon shares are being phased in over seven years.).

The ACC is expected to pay out around $37 million to most member schools (not including California, Stanford and SMU) in fiscal 2025. But with media value and success initiatives, that number could jump $20 million-25 million. 

The success initiative was the first give by the ACC to Florida State and Clemson (and the rest of the league), where teams will receive a greater share of the College Football Playoff payout for postseason success. 

Last December, in the heat of the negotiations and legal wrangling with the ACC, Alford told USA TODAY Sports, “We never said we wanted to leave the ACC” — 16 months after a formal notice of withdrawal. 

Less than three months later, the ACC came to the table with a workable media value initiative that settled lawsuits between Florida State, Clemson and the conference — and put FSU’s financial destiny in its hands.

“We’re going to do everything we can to grow Florida State,” Alford said.

Says the guy who got what he wanted all along, anyway. 

Matt Hayes is the senior national college football writer for USA TODAY Sports Network. Follow him on X at @MattHayesCFB.

This post appeared first on USA TODAY

Caitlin Clark’s first season in the WNBA felt like a fever dream.

Clark was named the 2024 WNBA Rookie of the Year after a stellar freshman campaign that saw her shatter numerous records, including the single-season rookie scoring record (769), single-season assists record (337) and single-game assists record (19), while leading the WNBA in assists (8.4 per game) and made 3s (122). Clark earned her first All-Star nod and was the first rookie to make the All-WNBA Team since Candace Parker in 2008.

Despite scorching the league in her first year, Clark has barely scratched the surface and has her eyes on an elusive championship.

‘Being a rookie in the WNBA is so unique … from ending your college career and then your becoming a professional immediately,’ Clark told USA TODAY. ‘Just getting a year under my belt was the best thing for me.’

When asked at media day what success means this season, Clark definitively said ‘a championship.’

CAITLIN CLARK WNBA SCHEDULE: Tickets, times, TV for all Indiana Fever games

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What’s next for Clark? Here’s a look at what to expect in year two:

Caitlin Clark adds strength to repertoire

This offseason provided Clark some much-needed rest. Clark continuously played basketball for nearly a year straight as she transitioned from college to the pros. She wrapped up her collegiate career at Iowa where she set the NCAA’s all-time scoring record in April 2024 after leading the Hawkeyes to their second consecutive national championship game appearance. Clark was selected with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2024 WNBA draft by the Indiana Fever one week later and made her WNBA debut in May 2024. Her team played 11 games in 20 days. 

‘I haven’t really had (an offseason) in a couple years now, because my last year going into Iowa we took our foreign trip,’ Clark told USA TODAY. ‘So that was really nice just to kind of have that reset, get back to working on things I want to get (better at) and add some muscle to my frame. I’m excited for year two.’

Clark opted not to play competitive basketball this offseason, bypassing playing overseas or in the inaugural season of Unrivaled. She hit the gym and weight room to develop her game.

The results have been on display, especially during the Big Ten women’s basketball tournament in March. Clark significantly bulked up and her new muscles became a topic of conversation across social media.

‘I think it’s funny,’ Clark told USA TODAY about the commentary surrounding her biceps. ‘People see one photo and kind of run with it. But I appreciate it. I worked really hard so at least they noticed.’

Clark found herself on the receiving end of a lot of physicality in her rookie season, which opponents used as a means to slow her down and knock her off balance. But Clark’s added strength and muscle mass should help her push off pesky and handsy defenders.

‘I feel like everyone talks about it. I see it on social media. They’ll be like, ‘Caitlin has such strong muscles.’ Don’t tell her I said that,’ Aliyah Boston said, when asked about the biggest difference she sees in Clark this year. ‘I think her strength. She gets in the paint and she’s able to bully her way in and finish strong at the basket. I mean, everyone talks about her 3-point shooting and we’ve all seen her passing, but I think her ability to get downhill and really just stay on balance and score the ball. I think it’s gonna be great this year, too.’

Caitlin Clark has pieces. Expect deep playoff run.

The Fever are legit championship contenders and are positioned to potentially win their first WNBA title since 2012.

The Fever started the 2024 WNBA season 11-15, but Indiana found its groove after the All-Star break and closed the season on a 9-5 run to secure the team’s best record (20-20) and first playoff berth since 2016. Although Indiana was swept in the first round of the WNBA playoffs by the Connecticut Sun, the Fever showed promise and offered a peek at their potential.

The franchise responded by going all in throwing out blueprints for a years-long rebuild and signaling the team’s desire to win now with a series of moves. The Fever upgraded their roster, coaching staff and front office to complement the young core of Clark, Boston (the 2023 Rookie of the Year) and Kelsey Mitchell.

Kelly Krauskopf returned as the Fever’s president in September. Former Sun head coach Stephanie White was hired in November to succeed Christie Sides. The Fever re-signed Mitchell in January and added defensive prowess and depth to their roster with the additions of six-time All-Star DeWanna Bonner, former Defensive Player of the Year Natasha Howard, Sophie Cunningham, Brianna Turner and Sydney Colson.

The improvements will only make it easier for Clark to thrive.

‘It’s up to us to be able to put it all together,’ Clark said.

Bonner added: ‘Being on this side of the ball with (Clark) is a lot more fun than guarding her, that’s for sure. She just put everyone in position. We play off her and her energy.’

Caitlin Clark’s bag got bigger with a floater

Clark is known for her signature 3s she led the league last season with 3.1 made 3-pointers per game and knocked down a WNBA-high 122 3-pointers but her opponents will now have another element to try to defend. Not only did Clark bulk up in the lab, she added a floater to her game.

Alongside Fever athletic performance coach Sarah Kessler, Clark worked with new Indiana player development coach Keith Porter to tune up her game and master her midrange shot. Expect her to use it often.

The USA TODAY app gets you to the heart of the news — fastDownload for award-winning coverage, crosswords, audio storytelling, the eNewspaper and more.

This post appeared first on USA TODAY

Reddit co-founder Alexis Ohanian has purchased a minority stake in Chelsea FC Women, giving him an ownership stake in two of the most-valuable teams in women’s sports.

The founder of venture capital firm Seven Seven Six and husband of tennis legend Serena Williams paid 20 million pounds for a 10% stake in the English soccer team, according to a person familiar with the deal. Ohanian is also a part owner in the National Women’s Soccer League’s Angel City FC alongside Disney CEO Bob Iger and his wife, Willow Bay.

Ohanian’s Chelsea deal values the women’s club at 200 million pounds, according to the person familiar, making it the most valuable women’s team in the world based on current foreign exchange rates. As part of the deal, Ohanian will be given a seat on the team’s board.

“I’ve bet big on women’s sports before — and I’m doing it again,” Ohanian said in a post on social media site X confirming the stake.

Chelsea FC Women have won six consecutive Women’s Super League titles. Ohanian says he see the opportunity to grow a worldwide brand within women’s football.

“I’m confident Chelsea FC Women is the next global women’s sports brand,” he said.

Ohanian told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Thursday that one of the things that drew him to Chelsea was the team’s large social media following. Chelsea FC Women have 4 million followers on Instagram.

“As a social media guy, I look for heat online in the free market of attention,” Ohanian said. “If this were any other type of brand, there is a lot of revenue opportunity there.”

Ohanian also said he believes in the business model and that women’s sports have been undervalued too long. He said brands are only now starting to wake up to that value.

“We will see billion-dollar clubs in women’s soccer one day in the not-too-distant future,” he predicted.

Ohanian left Reddit in 2020 to focus on building a legacy for his two young daughters through sports and other investments.

He said in 2024 he had invested $250,000 from his daughters trust fund into Angel City FC. Ohanian said the investment made them the youngest owners in professional sports and multi-millionaires.

Williams also recently became part owner of WNBA expansion team the Toronto Tempo, and Ohanian has started a women’s track competition.

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS

Bombas founder David Heath is stepping down from his role as CEO as the socks and apparel company looks to expand beyond its direct-to-consumer roots.

Bombas President Jason LaRose, a former Under Armour and Equinox executive, will take over as the company’s next CEO effective Thursday. Heath said he realized it was necessary for a retail veteran to lead the company through its next phase of growth.

“We’ve reached a size and scale that is beyond my expertise. I didn’t come from a big apparel company before … I found myself more so over the last 18 months saying, ‘I don’t know what to do next,’” Heath, who is staying at Bombas as its executive chair, told CNBC in an interview. “So then, when I looked at someone with Jason’s background … having that tried and true experience is what will set Bombas up to succeed for the next chapter and I think I feel more comfortable having someone with Jason’s experience in the driver’s seat.” 

LaRose, who spent six years at Under Armour and oversaw its North America business, takes the helm at a critical point in Bombas’ growth story. 

Bombas’ revenue has grown 22% in its current fiscal year through April, it’s reached more than $2 billion in lifetime sales and its EBITDA is at a “super healthy, double digit” margin, LaRose told CNBC. The company’s footwear segment, such as its ultra-popular Sunday Slipper, is expanding the fastest. The company expects footwear revenue will soar more than 70% this year, but socks are still growing steadily, with sales up 17% in April compared to the prior year. 

But in order to reach its goal of growing from a “Shark Tank” startup into a multibillion dollar company over the next five-to-10 years, Bombas needs to expand its wholesale presence. Retailers that primarily sell online like Bombas tend to reach a growth ceiling and need to turn to other channels to keep scaling profitably.

Under LaRose’s direction, Bombas is looking to grow its wholesale revenue from around 7% of sales to between 10% and 20%. The company also wants to test out physical stores. 

“More than 60% of socks in this country are sold in physical locations, you know, whether that’s stores we could open, or stores that we fill with our partners … the wholesale opportunity is big for us,” said LaRose. “It’s also a billboard for us, right? It’s a chance to tell our story. When the customer walks by, we have a chance to tell them about the mission every time, why we’re here, let them touch and feel the product, which is always important when you’re introducing somebody to a new apparel brand.” 

Bombas currently sells in Nordstrom, Scheels and Dick’s Sporting Goods, and unlike some of its peers, it isn’t considering Amazon as a wholesale channel. Instead, it’s looking to expand its assortment offered by its current partners, try out its own stores and perhaps bring on some new wholesalers — if they’re the right fit. 

Digitally native brands that have long enjoyed the benefits of a direct model, such as customer data and the ability to stay close to customers, are often wary about expanding too deeply into wholesale because it’s less profitable and it’s harder for brands to tell their stories. For a company like Bombas, which spent years developing what it calls the “most comfortable socks, underwear, and T-shirts” on the market, that storytelling is extremely important — especially at a price point of around $15 per pair of socks. 

However, it’s that very attitude that has led some to criticize the direct selling model because of how it can stymie growth and lead to unsustainable business models. Many of the early direct-to-consumer darlings have seen their valuations shrivel up as they chase profitability years after they were founded. E-commerce has become harder to do profitably, and at a certain point, stores and wholesale are a more effective and profitable customer acquisition tool for some companies than marketing online. Selling goods through wholesale channels allows brands to scale and acquire customers more profitably than just selling online.

Brands like Bombas that were early to move to wholesale — Heath joked that the company “focused on profitability before it was cool” — understand the need for expansion but have looked to be strategic about who they partner with. Growth is important, but so is maintaining a brand, which is critical to staying ahead of rivals. 

“As a DTC brand, we care so much about our brand and our story, it has to be somebody who’s going to do an excellent job taking care of our brand. We’re not out there to be out there,” said LaRose. “We’re looking at some other partners. We’ll continue to always look for people who we think strategically give us access to the right customer, you know, nothing to announce yet on that front, but we’ll keep looking.” 

Disclosure: CNBC owns the exclusive off-network cable rights to “Shark Tank.”

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS

Netflix said Wednesday its cheaper, ad-supported tier now has 94 million monthly active users — an increase of more than 20 million since its last public tally in November.

The company and its peers have been increasingly leaning on advertising to boost the profitability of their streaming products. Netflix first introduced the ad-supported plan in November 2022.

Netflix’s ad-supported plan costs $7.99 per month, a steep discount from its least-expensive ad-free plan, at $17.99 per month.

“When you compare us to our competitors, attention starts higher and ends much higher,” Netflix president of advertising Amy Reinhard said in a statement. “Even more impressive, members pay as much attention to mid-roll ads as they do to the shows and movies themselves.”

Netflix also said its cheapest tier reaches more 18- to 34-year-olds than any U.S. broadcast or cable network.

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS

Dick’s Sporting Goods is buying the struggling footwear chain Foot Locker for about $2.4 billion, the second buyout of a major footwear company in as many weeks as business leaders struggle with uncertainty over President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

Dick’s said Thursday that it expects to run Foot Locker as a standalone unit and keep the Foot Locker brands, which include Kids Foot Locker, Champs Sports, WSS and Japanese sneaker brand atmos.

“Sports and sports culture continue to be incredibly powerful, and with this acquisition, we’ll create a new global platform that serves those ever evolving needs through iconic concepts consumers know and love, enhanced store designs and omnichannel experiences, as well as a product mix that appeals to our different customer bases,” Dick’s CEO Lauren Hobart said in a statement.

Both companies are led by women. Hobart became CEO at Dick’s in 2021, while Mary Dillon has served as CEO of Foot Locker since 2022.

Foot Locker announced a turnaround plan in 2023 in part to help improve its relationship with big brands. Speaking at the J.P. Morgan Retail Round Up Conference last month, Dillon said that Foot Locker is working closely with Nike, specifically in categories including basketball, sneaker culture and kids.

Earlier this month, Skechers announced that it was being taken private by the investment firm by 3G Capital in a transaction worth more than $9 billion.

A Foot Locker store in San Diego.Kevin Carter / Getty Images file

The retail industry has been growing increasingly concerned over Trump’s trade war with other countries, particularly China. Athletic shoe makers have invested heavily in production in Asia.

Shares of sporting goods and athletic shoe companies have been under pressure all year. Foot Locker’s stock has plunged 41% this year. It is also facing pressure elsewhere, with major athletic companies like Nike and Adidas shifting their sales strategies.

Skechers had fallen almost 8% this year.

About 97% of the clothes and shoes purchased in the U.S. are imported, predominantly from Asia, according to the American Apparel & Footwear Association. Using factories overseas has kept labor costs down for U.S. companies, but neither they nor their overseas suppliers are likely to absorb price increases due to new tariffs.

Foot Locker, based in New York City, offers Dick’s a lot of potential, namely its huge real estate footprint, and would give the Pittsburgh company its first foothold overseas.

Foot Locker has about 2,400 retail stores across 20 countries in North America, Europe, Asia, Australia and New Zealand. It also has a licensed store presence in Europe, the Middle East and Asia. The company had global sales of $8 billion last year.

Jefferies analyst Jonathan Matuszewski said that about 33% of Foot Locker’s sales come from outside the United States. He anticipates that the combined company would generate approximately 12% of sales internationally on a pro forma basis.

The deal also broadens Dick’s customer base, with sneaker collectors anxiously anticipating new drops from Foot Locker.

Neil Saunders, managing director of GlobalData, said in an emailed statement that Foot Locker, which has a 4.3% share of the sporting goods market, would give an immediate boost to Dick’s.

“It would also give Dick’s substantially more bargaining power with national brands, especially in the sneaker space,” he added.

Foot Locker shareholders can choose to receive either $24 in cash or 0.1168 shares of Dick’s common stock for each Foot Locker share that they own.

Dick’s said that it anticipates closing on the Foot Locker deal in the second half of the year. The transaction still needs approval from Foot Locker shareholders.

Dick’s stock dropped more than 10% before the market open, while shares of Foot Locker surged more than 82%.

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS

Let’s be real. How many of you kicked yourselves for not jumping into some long positions last Friday?

Of course, hindsight is 20/20, and unless you’ve got a crystal ball, there’s no sure way to know what the market will do next. What you can do, though, is be ready for the next opportunity, and one stock that’s flashing signals is Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI).

Super Micro Computer has had a rocky ride. The company was delisted from the Nasdaq in 2018, after there was a report of possible accounting issues by Hindenburg Research, and it risked being delisted from the Nasdaq again in February 2025. SMCI managed to get its act together, filed its 10-K, and clawed its way back into compliance. Now it’s back on the SCTR radar, and with a current reading of 99 — an impressive move. As such, the stock has made its way into the Top 10 StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) report in the Large Cap category. Will it muscle its way back into the top three like it did in early 2024?

SMCI Stock’s Journey

The three-year arithmetic scale weekly chart of SMCI below shows the stock price rising higher and making a steep vertical upward move in 2024. SMCI’s stock price hit a high of $122.90 on the week of March 4. From there, things weren’t great. The stock price faced headwinds, bringing the stock price to a low of $17.25 by mid-November 2024. SMCI’s stock price has been grinding higher, carving out a series of higher lows.

FIGURE 1. WEEKLY CHART OF SMCI STOCK. After hitting a high of $129.90 in early March 2024, the stock tanked to $17.25 by mid-November. It is starting to show signs of recovery, but how far will it go this time?Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

From a weekly perspective, SMCI looks like it’s regrouping, and this week’s spike might just be the shot of adrenaline it needs.

The Daily View: A More Granular Perspective

A partnership with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), a Saudi Arabian data center deal, and a couple of analyst nods may have had something to do with SMCI’s stock price gap up on Wednesday. But let’s shift away from the headlines and talk technicals (see daily chart of SMCI below).

FIGURE 2. DAILY CHART OF SMCI STOCK. The stock gapped up on Wednesday. Will it continue higher, or will the gap get filled? Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

  • SMCI has broken above its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) (even if it’s still sloping downward … a small detail not to be overlooked).
  • The relative strength index (RSI) is getting close to its 70 line, indicating momentum is heating up.
  • The percentage price oscillator (PPO) is crossing above its zero line.
  • And again: SMCI’s SCTR score is at 99.1, a position of technical strength.

Is It Time to Get In Front of SMCI?

You know the drill. Timing a trade is about strategy. There’s always the temptation to hit the buy button, but rushing in can lead to expensive regrets. Ever place a limit order and end up canceling it because your nerves got the better of you? We’ve all been there.

Gaps like the one we saw in SMCI on Wednesday are tricky. They often get filled, but not always. So, in the case of SMCI, it may be worth waiting for the dust to settle. This is where patience becomes your superpower. 

An ideal scenario would be a pullback in price to perhaps the 200-day SMA, followed by a reversal. If the RSI breaks above 70 and the PPO rises above the zero line, it would confirm the necessary follow-through to push the price higher. Wait for the ideal setup before you make your move.

In other words: Don’t chase. Let the trade come to you.


Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

The S&P 500 ($SPX) just staged one of the sharpest rebounds we’ve seen in years. After tumbling into deeply oversold territory earlier this year, the index has completely flipped the script—short-term, medium-term, and even long-term indicators are now pointing in a new direction.

One longer-term indicator that hit an extreme low in early April was the 14-week relative strength index (RSI), which dropped to 27. That’s among the lowest levels since the 2008 financial crisis.

The obvious takeaway: it was a great time to buy, even in cases where the low RSI didn’t mark the low. Everyone who pounded the table a few weeks ago has been proven right, even if the rebound was faster and stronger than most could’ve predicted. So, what happens next?

Don’t Expect a Straight Line Up

The long-term picture looks promising, but markets rarely move in a straight line. Even though the market was higher months and years after these deeply oversold readings, the path wasn’t a straight shot to new highs (even if long-term log charts sometimes make it look that way).

The chart below shows the lowest weekly RSI readings in the S&P 500 since 2008.

FIGURE 1. THE LOWEST WEEKLY RSI READING SIN THE S&P 500 SINCE 2008.

Almost every time, there was a pause, often more than one. Some were sharp, others more prolonged. The first real test typically came when RSI bounced back to the 50-zone (the mid-point of its range). Each of these moments is highlighted in yellow in the chart below.

FIGURE 2. AFTER DEEPLY OVERSOLD RSI READINGS, THERE WAS OFTEN A PAUSE IN THE INDEX.

As shown, this often marked the initial digestion phase after the face-ripping rally off the lows. Eventually, the SPX climbed back to a weekly overbought condition, but not right away. This pattern was clearest in 2011, 2015–16, and 2022. The depressed weekly RSI showed that things were getting washed out, but volatility persisted before a lasting uptrend took hold.

Indeed, the current snapback is one of the quickest and most powerful turnarounds in decades, but this pace is also unsustainable. A slowdown is inevitable.

So how does the market handle the next round of profit-taking? By continuing to make higher lows – and converting those into additional bullish patterns.

XLK Makes A Comeback

The market comeback has been led by large-cap growth; that much is clear. The Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) has roared back nearly 30% in just six weeks. That’s a massive move in a short period, and far larger than any failed bear market rally seen in 2022. The best six-week rally back then came in the summer and topped out at 17%.

The last time we saw a six-week gain of 20%+ was the period following the COVID-19 low in spring 2020. As we know, that snapback continued, with XLK overtaking its pre-crash highs and ultimately rallying 160% into the early 2022 peak.

This isn’t a prediction, but we shouldn’t ignore it either. Why? Because before 2020, the last such move happened in April 2009, right after the ultimate low of the 2008 financial crisis.

FIGURE 3. WEEKLY CHART OF XLK.

Industrials are Building Strength Too

The Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) and XLK are the first sector ETFs to register overbought 14-day RSI readings. While that suggests a short-term pause could be near, it wouldn’t be a negative. As the weekly chart shows, a pullback could help complete a large bullish formation.

Once again, bouts of intense volatility eventually can lead to the biggest bullish chart formations. Let’s keep XLI on our radar screens.

FIGURE 4. WEEKLY CHART OF XLI.

Even Solar Stocks Are Waking Up

The Invesco Solar ETF (TAN), which has been stuck in a brutal downtrend for years, just rocketed higher by 40%, using intra-day highs and lows. That rally has produced the first overbought reading since late May 2024, which, notably, lasted only a day before momentum faded.

Yesterday, TAN tagged its 200-day moving average, prompting a round of profit-taking. This sets up a critical test for TAN, which has consistently failed at resistance or after short-term pops. Selling strength in TAN has been a highly effective strategy for quite some time.

FIGURE 5: DAILY CHART OF TAN.

The weekly chart clearly shows this pattern playing out since TAN topped in early 2021. Like anything else, TAN could eventually turn the corner—but to do so, it would need to form a legitimate higher low from here.

For now, the downtrend deserves respect. Chasing this move is not advised. Selling strength remains the recommended approach—until proven otherwise.

FIGURE 6. WEEKLY CHART OF TAN.

The Bottom Line

Yes, the market’s comeback has been fast and fierce. But fast moves don’t necessarily mean a straight path higher. Expect slowdowns and pullbacks, watch for bullish setups, and don’t chase runaway rallies. There’s opportunity out there, but it’s all about timing and discipline.


Want to know how to find strong stocks in a volatile market? In this video, Joe uses Relative Strength (RS), Fibonacci retracements, and technical analysis to spot top sectors and manage downside risk.

Follow along as Joe breaks down how to use the Relative Strength indicator to separate outperforming stocks from those failing at resistance. He highlights sectors showing strong or improving RS, discusses the Fibonacci retracement on QQQ, and explains what it means for downside risk.

Joe wraps up with detailed chart analysis on viewer-submitted symbol requests, including QTUM, HOOD, and more, to help you sharpen your trading decisions with expert insights.

The video premiered on May 14, 2025. Click this link to watch on Joe’s dedicated page.

Archived videos from Joe are available at this link. Send symbol requests to stocktalk@stockcharts.com; you can also submit a request in the comments section below the video on YouTube. Symbol Requests can be sent in throughout the week prior to the next show.

Tolu Minerals Limited (“Tolu”) is pleased to announce the granting of its Ipi River tenement EL 2780 (Figure 1) covering 395.56 km2 of highly prospective copper-gold mineralisation. The historically discovered Ipi River porphyry deposit within EL 2780, located 55 km northwest of the Tolukuma gold mine is one of several under-explored porphyry style Cu-Au-Mo systems with epithermal Au overprint within Tolu’s exploration portfolio.

HIGHLIGHTS:

  • Ipi River tenement EL2780 granted by the Mineral Resource Authority
  • Preliminary interpretation of Airborne MT imagery indicates five previously unknown copper-gold targets that require further exploration and drill testing
  • The newly advanced Airborne MT survey provides electrical resistivity imaging of the top 1km to define geological targets and structures related to copper-gold mineralisation, as well as magnetic data to assist in the exploration process
  • Ipi River Porphyry System represents a historically under-explored Cu-Au-Mo system where previous rock sampling results returned up to 10.10% copper and 167g/t gold
  • Douglas Kirwin, renowned porphyry and epithermal specialist, is appointed to the Advisory Board
Iain Macpherson, MD & CEO of Tolu Minerals Ltd. said:

“I’m pleased to report the progression of our exploration strategy with the award of Exploration License EL 2780 consisting of highly prospective ground within the Ipi River tenement. This award, coupled with our recent and historical exploration programmes at Ipi River, reinforces Tolu’s position as an emerging, important explorer and operator in what is rapidly becoming one of the great gold/copper provinces of the world.

Recently flown Airborne MT preliminary imagery reinforces historical exploration data and indicates a number of porphyry or intrusive related copper-gold targets. The tenement also includes historical copper-gold-molybdenum, late-stage epithermal gold, and peripheral unexplored Au targets. This latest addition to our tenement portfolio allows us to proceed with our next stage of exploration on a more detailed evaluation of the Airborne MT results and target areas.

The award of the Ipi River exploration license is a significant addition to Tolu’s highly prospective exploration and development portfolio that provides a number of compelling targets and potential for further major discoveries.

In line with the Company’s vision to reveal the porphyry and epithermal deposit potential at Tolukuma, Mt Penck and now Ipi River, the appointment of Doug Kirwin to Tolu’s Advisory Board is a testament to the Company’s broader commitment to defining a substantial resource within Tolu’s exploration targets, further to the re-start of the Tolukuma Gold-Silver Mine.”

Chris Muller, Tolu’s Executive Group Geologist commented that “the continuous progress towards growing Tolu’s exploration portfolio with high potential tenements has reinforced my view that Tolu is among the most exciting growth companies in one of the great underdeveloped and underexplored gold mining provinces on the planet.”

The advanced Airborne Magneto Telluric (“Airborne MT” or “MT”) survey was flown over the Eastern 209km2 of the EL to help in identifying a new generation of geophysical targets related to gold and copper-lead-zinc mineralisation for ground follow-up and drilling.

Airborne MT is an advanced geophysical technology providing high-resolution, deep resistivity/conductivity 3D mapping to over 1km depth. Final data from the recently completed airborne MT survey flown over the known Ipi River porphyry and Mt. Yule “Bulls- eye” magnetic porphyry gold-copper systems have diagnostic sub-surface conductivity, resistivity and magnetic signatures that are calibrations for identifying similar integrated anomalies.

An additional five, previously unexplored discrete geophysical target areas, have already been identified, proving the technique to be a cost-effective compliment to historical exploration results. A more detailed desktop review of historical exploration and airborne geophysics will now be completed ahead of fieldwork on ground.

Target mineralisation within the tenement includes an extremely intense and large 6km x 6km dipolar “Bulls-eye” magnetic anomaly (Figure 2) at Mt. Yule (IPI06), located at a major structural intersection of the NE-trending Yule Transfer Structure and orthogonal structure related to a deep-set high electrical resistivity trend (Figure 3).

The IPI06 occurs as an exceptionally high magnetic signature (>1,730nT dipolar variation) and geologically related to a diorite/monzonite intrusive. The magnetic characteristics are like that of the Indonesia Grasberg monzodiorite and Ertsberg diorite Cu-Au-Ag mineral deposits, located on the Western half of New Guinea island1.

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